Thursday, December 10, 2009

Daily Recap - 12/10/2009

  1. Stock market manged to gain today, on low volume, despite disappointing unemployment claims (although 4 week MA for unemployment claims was down and trade balance came in better than expected)
  2. Despite the advances in the equities market, the USD and JPY maintained relative strength vs. most currencies for a good part of the day. This may signal some bearish sentiment, which would make sense as the picture in Greece, Spain, Dubai becomes clearer. 
  3. Aussie and CAD showing relative strength vs. USD while EUR and GBP showing relative weakness.
  4. China economic reading - mainly positive. This may cause the JPY to give back some of its recent gains.
  5. Morgan Stanley said said Yen intervention risk is "high"
Important numbers for tomorrow:
-All eyes will be on the retail numbers coming out at 8:30. Will be interesting to note USDs reaction to the numbers, especially if they surprise on the upside and the USD strengthen.
-Yen will likely decline on good retail numbers

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